Tennis · Challenger Guayaquil · 27/10, 16:00
Prediction: Tomas Barrios Vera vs Juan Estevez
Team pages: Tomas Barrios Vera · Juan Estevez
Prediction summary
Winner
Tomas Barrios Vera
Juan Estevez
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Tomas Barrios Vera
8-2 (W-L)
Juan Estevez
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tomas Barrios Vera 1520 · Juan Estevez 1419
| Tomas Barrios Vera | Juan Estevez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tomas Barrios Vera (rating 1520 vs 1419).
- Tomas Barrios Vera is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tomas Barrios Vera | Juan Estevez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.3 | 11.1-13.7 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 30.7% | 33.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tomas Barrios Vera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Nicolas Jarry Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 30/09 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/08 | Alexander Blockx US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Daniel Rincon US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Juan Estevez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 05/10 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 01/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 18/08 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Nico Hipfl M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 12/08 | Alex Bergomi M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 05/08 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M25 Londrina |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tomas Barrios Vera vs Juan Estevez?
Our model gives 73% to Tomas Barrios Vera, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.