Tennis · Challenger Guayaquil · 25/10, 16:00
Prediction: Daniel Elahi Galan vs Boris Arias
Team pages: Daniel Elahi Galan · Boris Arias
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Elahi Galan
Boris Arias
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Elahi Galan
3-7 (W-L)
Boris Arias
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Elahi Galan 1462 · Boris Arias 1418
| Daniel Elahi Galan | Boris Arias | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Elahi Galan (rating 1462 vs 1418).
- Note: Boris Arias makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Daniel Elahi Galan | Boris Arias | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-13.8 | 8.6-11.9 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Elahi Galan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 17/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Marko Topo Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Georgi Georgiev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
Boris Arias
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/09 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Andrej Martin Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/04 | Dan Martin Challenger Tallahassee · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/03 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 22/03 | Enzo Lima Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Elahi Galan vs Boris Arias?
Our model gives 75% to Daniel Elahi Galan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.