Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 29/10, 21:30
Prediction: Benjamin Sparks vs Shion Itsusaki
Team pages: Benjamin Sparks · Shion Itsusaki
Prediction summary
Winner
Benjamin Sparks
Shion Itsusaki
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Sparks
7-3 (W-L)
Shion Itsusaki
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin Sparks 1549 · Shion Itsusaki 1483
| Benjamin Sparks | Shion Itsusaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benjamin Sparks (rating 1549 vs 1483).
- Benjamin Sparks is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Benjamin Sparks | Shion Itsusaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-7.8 | 9.1-10.6 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 51.9% | 42.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin Sparks
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Aryan Saleh UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 27/10 | Graeme Angus UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Xavier Calvelo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Jacob Brumm UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Cesar Cruz UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Donald Hall UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Sebastian Bielen UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Shion Itsusaki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Graeme Angus UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/10 | Aryan Saleh UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Alan Bojarski UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Alejandro Moreno UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Leo Pade UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Carlos Victor Ferreira Gonzales UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Naoto Tomizawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Penn Charusorn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin Sparks vs Shion Itsusaki?
Our model gives 63% to Benjamin Sparks, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.