Tennis · Challenger Brest · 28/10, 10:00
Prediction: Michele Ribecai vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Team pages: Michele Ribecai · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Prediction summary
Winner
Michele Ribecai
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Michele Ribecai
4-6 (W-L)
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Michele Ribecai
0–1
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
(1 last)
- 01 Oct1-2 13-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michele Ribecai 1519 · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1536
| Michele Ribecai | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Michele Ribecai 0–1 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (1).
Statistics
| Michele Ribecai | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10 | 12.8-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 45.9% | 40.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Michele Ribecai 0 – 1 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Michele Ribecai 0–1 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/24 M25 Santa Margherita | 1-2 | 13-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michele Ribecai
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Filip Misolic Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/10 | Max Houkes Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 07/10 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/10 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Mathys Domenc Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Clement Tabur ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Ugo Blanchet ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 17/10 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 16/10 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Moise Kouame Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Jakub Paul Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 18/09 | Jie Cui Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michele Ribecai vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Our model gives 61% to Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.