Tennis · W75 Poitiers · 25/10, 15:30
Prediction: Delia Gaillard vs Marine Szostak
Team pages: Delia Gaillard · Marine Szostak
Prediction summary
Winner
Delia Gaillard
Marine Szostak
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Delia Gaillard
1-9 (W-L)
Marine Szostak
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Delia Gaillard
0–1
Marine Szostak
(1 last)
- 18 Oct0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Delia Gaillard 1420 · Marine Szostak 1495
| Delia Gaillard | Marine Szostak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marine Szostak (rating 1420 vs 1495).
- Marine Szostak is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Delia Gaillard 0–1 Marine Szostak (1).
- Note: Marine Szostak makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Delia Gaillard | Marine Szostak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.7 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6-11.2 | 9.8-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 51.2% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
H2H · Delia Gaillard 0 – 1 Marine Szostak (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Delia Gaillard 0–1 Marine Szostak
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/26 W50 Cherbourg | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Delia Gaillard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Marine Szostak W50 Cherbourg |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas W15 Chisinau |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Onalee Wagner W15 Chisinau |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Margaux Maquet W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Anna Shkutova W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Anna Brunet-Brady W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Raquel Caballero Chica W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Eva Alvarez Sande W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Lisa Claeys W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Mallorie Nicault W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-11 | W |
Marine Szostak
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Diana Martynov W50 Cherbourg |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Delia Gaillard W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Jana Otzipka W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Margaux Komano W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Leila Fabbri W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W35 Reims |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Milena Ciocan W35 Reims |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Mathilde Lollia W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Katarina Kujovic W75 Le Neubourg |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Warda Ait El Bachir W15 Dijon |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Delia Gaillard vs Marine Szostak?
Our model gives 75% to Marine Szostak, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.