Tennis · W50 Istanbul · 25/10, 09:30
Prediction: Ekaterina Tupitsyna vs Minel Naz Kaynak
Team pages: Ekaterina Tupitsyna · Minel Naz Kaynak
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Tupitsyna
Minel Naz Kaynak
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Tupitsyna
6-4 (W-L)
Minel Naz Kaynak
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Tupitsyna 1547 · Minel Naz Kaynak 1451
| Ekaterina Tupitsyna | Minel Naz Kaynak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 96% | 4% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ekaterina Tupitsyna (rating 1547 vs 1451).
- Ekaterina Tupitsyna is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Ekaterina Tupitsyna makes many double faults (7.4/match).
- Note: Minel Naz Kaynak makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Tupitsyna | Minel Naz Kaynak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.6 | 7.2-10.6 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 7.4 | 6.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 51.4% |
| Break % | 60.3% | 41.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Tupitsyna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Vaishnavi Adkar W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Jenny Lim W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 08/10 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Chenting Zhu W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Ekaterina Perelygina W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Katarina Kuzmova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 18/09 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/09 | Margarita Betova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
Minel Naz Kaynak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Ekaterina Perelygina W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Yashaswini Panwar W15 Astana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Ekaterina Khodzhaeva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Deniz Dilek W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Karyna Fiadosik W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Yasemin Eiselmeier W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Zeynep Ilker W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/05 | Isabella Shinikova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/02 | Camilla Gennaro W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/01 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Tupitsyna vs Minel Naz Kaynak?
Our model gives 82% to Ekaterina Tupitsyna, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.