Tennis · W50 Istanbul · 25/10, 08:00
Prediction: Madison Frahn vs Urszula Radwanska
Team pages: Madison Frahn · Urszula Radwanska
Prediction summary
Winner
Madison Frahn
Urszula Radwanska
Estimated games
18.7
Recent form · 10 last
Madison Frahn
2-8 (W-L)
Urszula Radwanska
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Madison Frahn 1397 · Urszula Radwanska 1482
| Madison Frahn | Urszula Radwanska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Urszula Radwanska (rating 1397 vs 1482).
- Urszula Radwanska is in better form: 40% recent wins.
Statistics
| Madison Frahn | Urszula Radwanska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 11% (9) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.8 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 5-11.1 | 9.5-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 66.4% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Madison Frahn
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Anna Shkutova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Anna Sedysheva W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Marina Tawdrws W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/09 | Jessica Laura Pabisiak W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
1-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/05 | Mille Haagensen UTR Pro Stirling Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Freya Christie UTR Pro Stirling Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Fanny Pire UTR Pro Stirling Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Cheyenne J Borg UTR Pro Stirling Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Halle Pringle UTR Pro Stirling Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Olga Danilova W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Urszula Radwanska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Valentina Ryser W35 Baza |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Adithya Karunaratne W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/08 | Sayaka Ishii W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Julia Stusek W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Diana Marcinkevica W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Aliona Falei WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Marcelina Podlinska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Valentina Ryser W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Anastasiia Sorska W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Esther Adeshina W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Madison Frahn vs Urszula Radwanska?
Our model gives 78% to Urszula Radwanska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.