Tennis · ATP Vienna · 25/10, 14:30
Prediction: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac
Team pages: Fabian Marozsan · Tomas Machac
Prediction summary
Winner
Fabian Marozsan
Tomas Machac
Estimated games
23.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Fabian Marozsan
4-6 (W-L)
Tomas Machac
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Fabian Marozsan
0–2
Tomas Machac
(2 last)
- 19 Jun0-2 5-12L
- 23 Oct0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fabian Marozsan 1510 · Tomas Machac 1506
| Fabian Marozsan | Tomas Machac | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Fabian Marozsan 0–2 Tomas Machac (2).
Statistics
| Fabian Marozsan | Tomas Machac | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-13.1 | 11.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 4 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 33.3% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +0.6
Over 22.5: 54% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 46% · 1.90
H2H · Fabian Marozsan 0 – 2 Tomas Machac (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fabian Marozsan 0–2 Tomas Machac
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/25 ATP Halle | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/10/24 ATP Vienna | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fabian Marozsan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Sebastian Sorger ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 20/10 | Timofey Skatov ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/10 | Zachary Svajda ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Taro Daniel ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 24/09 | Alex Bolt ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/09 | Louis Van Herck Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Michael Zheng US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 28/08 | James Duckworth ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Martin Damm ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Tomas Machac
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Corentin Moutet ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Karen Khachanov ATP Almaty · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 21/10 | Zangar Nurlanuly ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/10 | Liam Draxl Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 15/10 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/10 | Alexandre Muller Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Alexander Bublik ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Zhizhen Zhang ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 01/10 | Alex Molcan ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Arthur Gea ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac?
Our model gives 60% to Tomas Machac, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.