Tennis · WTA Tokyo WD · 28/10, 13:00
Prediction: Aoyama/Liang vs Neel/Olmos
Team pages: Aoyama/Liang · Neel/Olmos
Prediction summary
Winner
Aoyama/Liang
Neel/Olmos
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Aoyama/Liang
3-7 (W-L)
Neel/Olmos
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aoyama/Liang
2–1
Neel/Olmos
(3 last)
- 03 Sept0-2 5-12L
- 16 Aug2-0 13-7W
- 13 Jun2-1 18-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aoyama/Liang 1433 · Neel/Olmos 1485
| Aoyama/Liang | Neel/Olmos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Neel/Olmos (rating 1433 vs 1485).
- Head-to-head: Aoyama/Liang 2–1 Neel/Olmos (3).
Statistics
| Aoyama/Liang | Neel/Olmos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-12.7 | 14.9-13.9 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 56.4% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3
H2H · Aoyama/Liang 2 – 1 Neel/Olmos (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aoyama/Liang 2–1 Neel/Olmos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/26 US Open WD | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08/26 WTA Cincinnati WD | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/06/26 WTA Hertogenbosch WD | 2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aoyama/Liang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Guo/Mladenovic WTA Ningbo WD · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Kozyreva/Stearns WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
1-2 | 19-23 | L |
| 06/10 | Danilina/Krawczyk WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Neel/Olmos US Open WD · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Joint/Xu WTA Monterrey WD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Chwalinska/Kraus WTA Monterrey WD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-15 | W |
| 24/08 | Perez/Schuurs WTA Monterrey WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Routliffe/Sutjiadi WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Neel/Olmos WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Chan/Joint WTA Toronto WD · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Neel/Olmos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Haverlag/Tagger WTA Osaka WD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Cho/Cho WTA Osaka WD · Hard |
2-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 16/10 | Dabrowski/Stefani WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Stollar/Wu WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-1 | 22-17 | W |
| 14/10 | Bartunkova/Chwalinska WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 05/10 | Routliffe/Sutjiadi WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Mladenovic/Panova WTA Singapore WD · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 07/09 | Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez US Open WD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Shibahara/Tararudee US Open WD · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Aoyama/Liang US Open WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aoyama/Liang vs Neel/Olmos?
Our model gives 51% to Aoyama/Liang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.