Prediction: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Fils
Team pages: Hubert Hurkacz · Arthur Fils
Prediction summary
Winner
Hubert Hurkacz
Arthur Fils
Estimated games
23.8Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Hubert Hurkacz
7-3 (W-L)
Arthur Fils
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hubert Hurkacz 1595 · Arthur Fils 1577
| Hubert Hurkacz | Arthur Fils | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Hubert Hurkacz dominates on serve: 14.3 aces and 56.8% break avg.
- Arthur Fils dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 47.2% break avg.
Statistics
| Hubert Hurkacz | Arthur Fils | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.5-11.4 | 13.3-10.9 |
| Aces | 14.3 | 8.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 80% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 56.8% | 47.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8 · Bet365 line 24.5 · -0.7
Over 24.5: 45% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 55% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hubert Hurkacz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 11/10 | Yi Zhou ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/10 | Novak Djokovic ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | James Duckworth ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/10 | Karen Khachanov ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/10 | Arthur Gea ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 01/10 | Learner Tien ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 27/09 | Lloyd Harris ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Arthur Fils
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Alex Michelsen ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/10 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/10 | Pavel Kotov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/10 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 02/10 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Luca Van Assche ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 28/09 | Martin Damm ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 31/08 | Stefanos Tsitsipas US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 17-23 | L |
| 23/08 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Fils?
Our model gives 57% to Arthur Fils, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.