Prediction: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Zizou Bergs
Team pages: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · Zizou Bergs
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Zizou Bergs
Estimated games
23.9Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
6-4 (W-L)
Zizou Bergs
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1631 · Zizou Bergs 1540
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Zizou Bergs | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 62% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (rating 1631 vs 1540).
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Zizou Bergs | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.7 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.5-11.8 | 11.8-10.2 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 74.3% | 76.4% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 33.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 53% · 2.00
Under 23.5: 47% · 1.72
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Rafael Jodar ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 17/10 | Alexander Zverev ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 13/10 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 11/10 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 09/10 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 29/09 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/09 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 27/09 | Alexandre Muller ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Zizou Bergs
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Toby Samuel ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Tommy Paul ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/10 | Ignacio Buse ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Vit Kopriva ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/09 | Jurij Rodionov Davis Cup |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Lukas Neumayer Davis Cup |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Zizou Bergs?
Our model gives 62% to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.