Tennis · ATP Basel MD · 28/10, 11:00
Prediction: Nys/Roger-Vasselin vs Arribage/Olivetti
Team pages: Nys/Roger-Vasselin · Arribage/Olivetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Nys/Roger-Vasselin
Arribage/Olivetti
Estimated games
26.6
Recent form · 10 last
Nys/Roger-Vasselin
6-4 (W-L)
Arribage/Olivetti
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nys/Roger-Vasselin
1–0
Arribage/Olivetti
(1 last)
- 27 Jul2-1 20-19W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nys/Roger-Vasselin 1523 · Arribage/Olivetti 1576
| Nys/Roger-Vasselin | Arribage/Olivetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arribage/Olivetti (rating 1523 vs 1576).
- Arribage/Olivetti dominates on serve: 8.7 aces and 52% break avg.
- Arribage/Olivetti is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Nys/Roger-Vasselin 1–0 Arribage/Olivetti (1).
Statistics
| Nys/Roger-Vasselin | Arribage/Olivetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.8-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-13.6 | 16.1-13.4 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 8.7 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 77.9% | 83.6% |
| Break % | 33.3% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.6
H2H · Nys/Roger-Vasselin 1 – 0 Arribage/Olivetti (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nys/Roger-Vasselin 1–0 Arribage/Olivetti
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/26 ATP Washington MD | 2-1 | 20-19 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nys/Roger-Vasselin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Reynolds/Watt ATP Lyon MD · Hard |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 12/10 | Harrison/Skupski ATP Shanghai MD · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/10 | Nouza/Venus ATP Shanghai MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Hijikata/Uesugi ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Stevenson/Willis ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Andreozzi/Guinard US Open MD · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 06/09 | Balaji/King US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Paul/Vocel US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/08 | Luz/Matos ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 21/08 | Doumbia/Reboul ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-1 | 22-21 | W |
Arribage/Olivetti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Matisse Bobichon/Feldbausch ATP Lyon MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Gonzalez/Jebens ATP Lyon MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Droguet/Jacquet ATP Lyon MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/10 | Cabral/Tracy ATP Shanghai MD · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 14/10 | Krawietz/Puetz ATP Shanghai MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/10 | Borges/Doumbia ATP Shanghai MD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-14 | W |
| 06/10 | Krajicek/Mektic ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
1-2 | 19-22 | L |
| 04/10 | Hijikata/Uesugi ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
2-1 | 22-20 | W |
| 03/10 | Miedler/Oberleitner ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/10 | Rojer/Winegar ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nys/Roger-Vasselin vs Arribage/Olivetti?
Our model gives 51% to Arribage/Olivetti, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.