Tennis · WTA Guangzhou · 27/10, 05:00
Prediction: Paula Badosa vs Xiyu Wang
Team pages: Paula Badosa · Xiyu Wang
Prediction summary
Winner
Paula Badosa
Xiyu Wang
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Paula Badosa
4-6 (W-L)
Xiyu Wang
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Paula Badosa
2–1
Xiyu Wang
(3 last)
- 16 Oct2-1 18-10W
- 10 Mar0-2 4-12L
- 25 Jan2-1 15-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paula Badosa 1501 · Xiyu Wang 1541
| Paula Badosa | Xiyu Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Xiyu Wang (rating 1501 vs 1541).
- Head-to-head: Paula Badosa 2–1 Xiyu Wang (3).
- Note: Paula Badosa makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Paula Badosa | Xiyu Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.5 | 12.7-9.4 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Paula Badosa 2 – 1 Xiyu Wang (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paula Badosa 2–1 Xiyu Wang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/24 WTA Ningbo | 2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 10/03/19 WTA Guadalajara | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/01/19 ITF W60 Burnie | 2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paula Badosa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Osaka · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 03/10 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 19/09 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Mary Stoiana WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 17/09 | Justina Mikulskyte WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Coco Gauff US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Daria Kasatkina US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Xiyu Wang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Mia Pohankova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 12/10 | Xinyu Wang WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/10 | Shuai Zhang Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Alexandra Eala Asian Games |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva Asian Games |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Iga Swiatek US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 23/08 | Ena Koike WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Madison Keys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paula Badosa vs Xiyu Wang?
Our model gives 51% to Xiyu Wang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.