Prediction: Xinyu Wang vs Tereza Valentova
Team pages: Xinyu Wang · Tereza Valentova
Prediction summary
Winner
Xinyu Wang
Tereza Valentova
Estimated games
21Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Xinyu Wang
5-5 (W-L)
Tereza Valentova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xinyu Wang 1481 · Tereza Valentova 1525
| Xinyu Wang | Tereza Valentova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tereza Valentova (rating 1481 vs 1525).
- Note: Tereza Valentova makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Xinyu Wang | Tereza Valentova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.3 | 11.2-9.3 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 35.1% | 41.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21 · Bet365 line 21.5 · -0.5
Over 21.5: 47% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 53% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xinyu Wang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Xiyu Wang WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Sonay Kartal WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Joanna Garland WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Donna Vekic WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Anna Kalinskaya US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 30/08 | Emiliana Arango US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Donna Vekic WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 14/08 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Tereza Valentova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Lilli Tagger WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Shuai Zhang WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 29/08 | Katie Volynets WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Julia Grabher WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Kylie Collins WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Fangran Tian WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Ariana Arseneault WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Mary Stoiana WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xinyu Wang vs Tereza Valentova?
Our model gives 60% to Tereza Valentova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.