Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 24/10, 03:30
Prediction: Carter Craig vs Lachlan Brain
Team pages: Carter Craig · Lachlan Brain
Prediction summary
Winner
Carter Craig
Lachlan Brain
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Carter Craig
4-6 (W-L)
Lachlan Brain
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Carter Craig
0–1
Lachlan Brain
(1 last)
- 19 Oct1-2 12-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carter Craig 1452 · Lachlan Brain 1500
| Carter Craig | Lachlan Brain | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lachlan Brain (rating 1452 vs 1500).
- Head-to-head: Carter Craig 0–1 Lachlan Brain (1).
Statistics
| Carter Craig | Lachlan Brain | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-11.4 | 10.7-11.7 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 45.3% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 35.6% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Carter Craig 0 – 1 Lachlan Brain (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Carter Craig 0–1 Lachlan Brain
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/26 UTR Pro Newport Beach | 1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carter Craig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Nathaniel Suh UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/10 | Adam Chodur UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Liam Spiers UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Lachlan Brain UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 24/07 | Graeme Angus UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Jacob Lee UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Alex Bulte UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Zavier Augustin UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Yubel Ubri UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Alexander Suhanitski UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Lachlan Brain
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Alessandro-D Ventre UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 21/10 | Liam Spiers UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 20/10 | Adam Chodur UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Carter Craig UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 22/05 | Nolan Balthazor UTR Pro Madison · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/05 | Aryan Badlani UTR Pro Madison · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/05 | Drew Fishback UTR Pro Madison · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Shaan Patel UTR Pro Madison · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Drew Hedgecoe UTR Pro Madison · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/11 | Anuj Watane UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carter Craig vs Lachlan Brain?
Our model gives 57% to Lachlan Brain, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.