Tennis · W100 Wrexham · 23/10, 11:30
Prediction: Elsa Jacquemot vs Alicia Dudeney
Team pages: Elsa Jacquemot · Alicia Dudeney
Prediction summary
Winner
Elsa Jacquemot
Alicia Dudeney
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Elsa Jacquemot
5-5 (W-L)
Alicia Dudeney
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elsa Jacquemot 1468 · Alicia Dudeney 1595
| Elsa Jacquemot | Alicia Dudeney | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alicia Dudeney (rating 1468 vs 1595).
- Elsa Jacquemot dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 42% break avg.
- Alicia Dudeney is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Elsa Jacquemot makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Alicia Dudeney makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Elsa Jacquemot | Alicia Dudeney | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10 | 12.7-9.8 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 42% | 54.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elsa Jacquemot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Viktoria Morvayova W100 Wrexham |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/10 | Sofya Lansere W100 Wrexham |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Rovereto · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/10 | Lea Boskovic WTA Rovereto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Camilla Zanolini WTA Rovereto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/10 | Claire Liu WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Magdalena Frech WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Vivian Wolff WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Zongyu Li WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Alicia Dudeney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Susan Bandecchi W100 Wrexham |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 21/10 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W100 Wrexham |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/10 | Manon Leonard W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Mika Stojsavljevic W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Angella Okutoyi W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Daniella Britton W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Marie Weckerle W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Ayla Aksu WTA Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 06/10 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 02/10 | Katie Swan W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elsa Jacquemot vs Alicia Dudeney?
Our model gives 58% to Alicia Dudeney, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.