Tennis · WTA Ningbo WD · 24/10, 07:00
Prediction: Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez vs Guo/Mladenovic
Team pages: Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez · Guo/Mladenovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez
Guo/Mladenovic
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez
7-3 (W-L)
Guo/Mladenovic
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez 1570 · Guo/Mladenovic 1527
| Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez | Guo/Mladenovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez (rating 1570 vs 1527).
- Note: Guo/Mladenovic makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez | Guo/Mladenovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.2-10.2 | 13.5-12.3 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 65.4% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Errani/Paolini WTA Ningbo WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/10 | Dabrowski/Stefani WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Tang/Xu WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Jiang/Wang WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Perez/Schuurs WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
1-2 | 20-18 | L |
| 05/10 | Alexandrova/Stollar WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-1 | 23-22 | W |
| 19/09 | Kobori/Plipuech WTA Guadalajara WD · Hard |
2-1 | 21-14 | W |
| 17/09 | Kozyreva/Lumsden WTA Guadalajara WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Dolehide/Khromacheva WTA Guadalajara WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Cabezas Dominguez/Gomez Pezuela Cano WTA Guadalajara WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Guo/Mladenovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Perez/Schuurs WTA Ningbo WD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 19/10 | Aoyama/Liang WTA Ningbo WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/10 | Hunter/Siniakova WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 12/10 | Lumsden/Panova WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Chwalinska/Linette US Open WD · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 20/08 | Hsieh/Ostapenko WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Kostyuk/Stearns WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 16/08 | Kato/Kichenok WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Routliffe/Sutjiadi WTA Toronto WD · Hard |
1-2 | 15-22 | L |
| 12/07 | Dabrowski/Stefani Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez vs Guo/Mladenovic?
Our model gives 53% to Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.