Tennis · M15 Shenzhen · 23/10, 04:00
Prediction: Luca Staeheli vs Daniil Sarksian
Team pages: Luca Staeheli · Daniil Sarksian
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Staeheli
Daniil Sarksian
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Staeheli
3-7 (W-L)
Daniil Sarksian
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Staeheli 1554 · Daniil Sarksian 1532
| Luca Staeheli | Daniil Sarksian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Luca Staeheli makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Luca Staeheli | Daniil Sarksian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-9.8 | 10-8.7 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.1% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Staeheli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Maksim Shin M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Haolong He M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/09 | Andy Andrade Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 28/09 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/09 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/09 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 13/09 | Maxwell Exsted Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Daniil Sarksian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Ruochen Gao M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Lleyton Richards M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/10 | Matisse Bobichon M15 Pontevedra |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Julio Cesar Porras M15 Pontevedra |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 17/09 | Arthur Laborde M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Noel Larwig M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Karol Malirz M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Rigele Te M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Mikalai Haliak M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 8-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Staeheli vs Daniil Sarksian?
Our model gives 66% to Luca Staeheli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.