Tennis · M25 Redbridge · 22/10, 11:00

Prediction: Finn Murgett vs George Loffhagen

Team pages: Finn Murgett · George Loffhagen

Prediction summary
Winner
26% 74%
Finn Murgett George Loffhagen
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Finn Murgett 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWLWWLWW
George Loffhagen 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Finn Murgett 1544 · George Loffhagen 1594
Finn MurgettGeorge Loffhagen
Our model43%57%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours George Loffhagen (rating 1544 vs 1594).

Statistics

Finn MurgettGeorge Loffhagen
Win %70%90%
Win % · Hard 67% (6) 88% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.8-0.4
Games (G-P)11.6-9.912.3-7.3
Aces0.88.6
Double faults22
1st serve %62.1%77.4%
Break %50.1%37.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Finn Murgett

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/10 Sebastian Sorger
M25 Redbridge
2-0 13-10 W
20/10 Bader Idrees
M25 Redbridge
2-0 12-5 W
18/10 Amit Vales
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
17/10 Peter Makk
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-1 13-11 W
13/10 Odysseas Geladaris
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
1-0 8-5 W
09/10 Jakub Filip
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 10-14 L
08/10 Mathieu Scaglia
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-1 16-7 W
07/10 Melios Efstathiou
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
25/09 Michael Agwi
M25 Setubal
1-2 10-16 L
24/09 Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Setubal
2-1 14-12 W

George Loffhagen

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/10 Conor Gannon
M25 Redbridge
2-0 12-4 W
20/10 Mark Ceban
M25 Redbridge
2-0 12-5 W
13/10 Jacob Fearnley
Challenger Olbia · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
12/10 Laurent Lokoli
Challenger Olbia · Hard
2-1 18-12 W
11/10 Filip Pieczonka
Challenger Olbia · Hard
2-1 15-10 W
29/08 Charles Broom
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
28/08 Michele Ribecai
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
27/08 Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
26/08 Ivan Ivanov
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
25/08 Alastair Gray
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Finn Murgett vs George Loffhagen?

Our model gives 74% to George Loffhagen, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.