Tennis · Challenger Cali · 22/10, 17:00
Prediction: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Francisco Comesana
Team pages: Carlos Maria Zarate · Francisco Comesana
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlos Maria Zarate
Francisco Comesana
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Carlos Maria Zarate
7-3 (W-L)
Francisco Comesana
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlos Maria Zarate 1533 · Francisco Comesana 1531
| Carlos Maria Zarate | Francisco Comesana | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Carlos Maria Zarate | Francisco Comesana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.5-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-9 | 15-13.7 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlos Maria Zarate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Franco Ribero Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Felix Corwin M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Valentino Grippo M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Giovanni Branchetti M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Francisco Comesana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 16/10 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 15/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 06/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 22/09 | Juan Estevez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Flavio Cobolli US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-23 | L |
| 25/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlos Maria Zarate vs Francisco Comesana?
Our model gives 69% to Francisco Comesana, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.