Tennis · W15 Singapore · 22/10, 04:00
Prediction: Ekaterina Khodzhaeva vs Thasaporn Naklo
Team pages: Ekaterina Khodzhaeva · Thasaporn Naklo
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Khodzhaeva
Thasaporn Naklo
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Khodzhaeva
4-6 (W-L)
Thasaporn Naklo
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Khodzhaeva 1452 · Thasaporn Naklo 1530
| Ekaterina Khodzhaeva | Thasaporn Naklo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thasaporn Naklo (rating 1452 vs 1530).
- Thasaporn Naklo is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ekaterina Khodzhaeva | Thasaporn Naklo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.2 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-9.1 | 11.6-10.5 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 55.6% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 42.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Khodzhaeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Arina Varaksina W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-1 | 9-10 | L |
| 19/10 | Jannat Chiripal W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Tamina Kochta W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-1 | 4-7 | L |
| 01/09 | Justine Bretnacher W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Sofia Avataneo W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Minel Naz Kaynak W15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Zhanel Rustemova W15 Astana |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
| 14/05 | Ulyana Hrabavets W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-1 | 2-6 | L |
| 13/05 | Eva Zabolotnaia W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 06/05 | Sara Saad W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-11 | L |
Thasaporn Naklo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Aditi Rawat W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/09 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Fang An Lin W15 Yeongwol |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/09 | Yu Jin Ahn W15 Yeongwol |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 03/09 | Dabin Kim W15 Yeongwol |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 02/09 | Eunyeong Park W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Peangtarn Plipuech W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Chengyiyi Yuan W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 15/08 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Ya-Yi Yang W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Khodzhaeva vs Thasaporn Naklo?
Our model gives 78% to Thasaporn Naklo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.