Tennis · M25 Mumbai · 22/10, 05:30
Prediction: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Ryuki Matsuda
Team pages: Pawit Sornlaksup · Ryuki Matsuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Pawit Sornlaksup
Ryuki Matsuda
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Pawit Sornlaksup
6-4 (W-L)
Ryuki Matsuda
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pawit Sornlaksup 1524 · Ryuki Matsuda 1574
| Pawit Sornlaksup | Ryuki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryuki Matsuda (rating 1524 vs 1574).
Statistics
| Pawit Sornlaksup | Ryuki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.6 | 10.6-8.5 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 1 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pawit Sornlaksup
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Aziz Ouakaa M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/10 | Thanapet Chanta M25 Solapur |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 14/10 | Caheer Warik M25 Solapur |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/09 | Thanapet Chanta M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Shintaro Imai M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Chen Dong M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 09/09 | Lleyton Richards M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Thantub Suksumrarn M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Shunsuke Mitsui Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 08/08 | Mukund Sasikumar M15 Astana |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Ryuki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Mukund Sasikumar M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Yuta Kikuchi Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Sergey Betov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Nino Ehrenschneider M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/10 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 01/10 | Reiya Komagata M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Zichen Shao M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Moise Kouame Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Taiyo Yamanaka Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Minh Phat Nguyen Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pawit Sornlaksup vs Ryuki Matsuda?
Our model gives 55% to Ryuki Matsuda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.