Tennis · W15 Singapore · 22/10, 04:00
Prediction: Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Moeka Miyata
Team pages: Aruzhan Sagandikova · Moeka Miyata
Prediction summary
Winner
Aruzhan Sagandikova
Moeka Miyata
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Aruzhan Sagandikova
6-4 (W-L)
Moeka Miyata
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aruzhan Sagandikova 1505 · Moeka Miyata 1512
| Aruzhan Sagandikova | Moeka Miyata | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Aruzhan Sagandikova | Moeka Miyata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-9.9 | 10.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 3 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 57.8% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 48.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aruzhan Sagandikova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Yui Chikaraishi W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/09 | Kristiana Sidorova WTA Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 24/09 | Yingqun Sun W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/09 | Ha Yoon Son W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Wushuang Zheng W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W35 Shenyang |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Jing-Jing Lu W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/09 | Chengwei Han W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Astana |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Gaeul Jang W15 Astana |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Moeka Miyata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Saina Jayesh Vaidya W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Remika Ohashi W50 Nanao |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 24/06 | Sara Yoshida W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 08/06 | Remika Ohashi W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Hiromi Abe W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Fang An Lin W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Haruka Nishimura W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 19/05 | Sayuri Hata W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/05 | Kisa Yoshioka W35 Fukuoka · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 05/05 | Rira Kosaka W35 Fukuoka · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Moeka Miyata?
Our model gives 61% to Aruzhan Sagandikova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.