Tennis · Challenger Lisbon · 22/10, 11:00
Prediction: Sumit Nagal vs Benjamin Hassan
Team pages: Sumit Nagal · Benjamin Hassan
Prediction summary
Winner
Sumit Nagal
Benjamin Hassan
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sumit Nagal
3-7 (W-L)
Benjamin Hassan
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sumit Nagal
2–1
Benjamin Hassan
(3 last)
- 24 Jun2-1 13-14W
- 10 Aug0-2 4-12L
- 23 May2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sumit Nagal 1480 · Benjamin Hassan 1536
| Sumit Nagal | Benjamin Hassan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benjamin Hassan (rating 1480 vs 1536).
- Benjamin Hassan is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Sumit Nagal 2–1 Benjamin Hassan (3).
Statistics
| Sumit Nagal | Benjamin Hassan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-11.6 | 11.3-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60.5% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 25.5% | 36.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Sumit Nagal 2 – 1 Benjamin Hassan (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sumit Nagal 2–1 Benjamin Hassan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/26 Challenger Targu Mures | 2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 10/08/23 Challenger Meerbusch | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/05/23 Challenger Skopje | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sumit Nagal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 07/10 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Yibing Wu Asian Games |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Seong Chan Hong Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Soonwoo Kwon Davis Cup |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Hyeon Chung Davis Cup |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Benjamin Hassan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 19/10 | Pedro Rodenas Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Szymon Kielan Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 11/10 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/10 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/09 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sumit Nagal vs Benjamin Hassan?
Our model gives 54% to Sumit Nagal, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.