Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 21/10, 08:00
Prediction: Miles Jones vs Ewen Lumsden
Team pages: Miles Jones · Ewen Lumsden
Prediction summary
Winner
Miles Jones
Ewen Lumsden
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Miles Jones
5-5 (W-L)
Ewen Lumsden
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miles Jones 1495 · Ewen Lumsden 1555
| Miles Jones | Ewen Lumsden | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ewen Lumsden (rating 1495 vs 1555).
Statistics
| Miles Jones | Ewen Lumsden | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.3 | 13.2-11 |
| Aces | 3 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 64% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miles Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Qian Sun M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Boxiong Zhang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Maksim Shin M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Suk Ann M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 19/08 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Omar Jasika M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/08 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Matic Kriznik M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Ewen Lumsden
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Louis Tessa M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Jack Loge M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 30/09 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 25/09 | Toby Martin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 24/09 | Mae Malige M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Alexander Watanabe Eriksson M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Kasra Rahmani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/09 | William Nolan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Jacopo Denitto M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miles Jones vs Ewen Lumsden?
Our model gives 52% to Ewen Lumsden, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.