Tennis · M15 Singapore · 22/10, 04:00

Prediction: Alexey Aleshchev vs Pranav Karthik

Team pages: Alexey Aleshchev · Pranav Karthik

Prediction summary
Winner
32% 68%
Alexey Aleshchev Pranav Karthik
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alexey Aleshchev 2-8 (W-L)
WLWLLLLLLL
Pranav Karthik 7-3 (W-L)
LLWWLWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alexey Aleshchev 1446 · Pranav Karthik 1530
Alexey AleshchevPranav Karthik
Our model38%62%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pranav Karthik (rating 1446 vs 1530).

Statistics

Alexey AleshchevPranav Karthik
Win %30%50%
Win % · Hard 33% (6) 100% (1)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.61.3-1
Games (G-P)8.2-11.210.1-8.9
Aces1.11.9
Double faults1.93.8
1st serve %56.3%70.5%
Break %42.4%34.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alexey Aleshchev

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/09 Kerem Yilmaz
M15 Baku
0-2 5-12 L
21/09 Pavel Skvortcov
M15 Baku
0-2 10-14 L
06/08 Karol Filar
M15 Poprad
0-2 2-12 L
05/08 Peter Zavacky
M15 Poprad
2-1 14-10 W
23/06 Ryo Minakata
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
09/06 Xin Zhou
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
03/06 Sam Ryan Ziegann
M15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
02/06 Zhenxiong Dong
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
07/05 Romain Faucon
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
05/05 Heinrich Rootman
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
2-1 18-9 W

Pranav Karthik

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Maximus Zavier Wong
M15 Singapore · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
15/10 Digvijay Pratap Singh
M25 Solapur
1-2 9-16 L
13/10 Anup Bangargi
M25 Solapur
2-0 12-4 W
12/10 Raghav Jaisinghani
M25 Solapur
2-0 10-1 W
11/10 Priyanshu Choudhary
M25 Solapur
2-0 12-2 W
17/09 Chirag Duhan
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
16/09 Karim El Feky
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
09/09 Ivan Gretskiy
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 12-14 L
02/09 Sander Jong
M15 Haren
0-2 3-12 L
25/08 Pieter De Lange
M25 Oldenzaal
1-2 11-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alexey Aleshchev vs Pranav Karthik?

Our model gives 68% to Pranav Karthik, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.