Tennis · WTA Osaka · 21/10, 04:30

Prediction: Antonia Ruzic vs Kayla Day

Team pages: Antonia Ruzic · Kayla Day

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Antonia Ruzic Kayla Day
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Antonia Ruzic 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLWWWLL
Kayla Day 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Antonia Ruzic 1515 · Kayla Day 1543
Antonia RuzicKayla Day
Our model46%54%
Market53%47%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Antonia RuzicKayla Day
Win %50%70%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.21.6-0.6
Games (G-P)12-1212.3-8
Aces0.84.9
Double faults2.93.1
1st serve %58.6%71.4%
Break %48.7%44.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Antonia Ruzic

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Paula Badosa
WTA Osaka · Hard
2-1 15-13 W
15/10 Bianca Andreescu
WTA Rovereto · Hard
1-2 16-17 L
13/10 Anna Siskova
WTA Rovereto · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
06/10 Alicia Dudeney
WTA Samsun · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
03/10 Leolia Jeanjean
WTA Adana · Hard
1-2 10-16 L
02/10 Teodora Kostovic
WTA Adana · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
30/09 Julia Riera
WTA Adana · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
28/09 Vendula Valdmannova
WTA Adana · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
31/08 Ann Li
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
24/08 Nikola Bartunkova
WTA Monterrey · Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Kayla Day

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Sofia Kenin
WTA Osaka · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
18/10 Maya Joint
WTA Osaka · Hard
1-2 12-15 L
17/10 Ena Koike
WTA Osaka · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
30/09 Amelie Van Impe
W100 Templeton
0-2 6-12 L
27/09 Janae Preston
W50 Berkeley
2-0 13-9 W
26/09 Ella Mcdonald
W50 Berkeley
2-0 13-9 W
25/09 Anna Rogers
W50 Berkeley
2-0 12-1 W
25/09 Evialina Laskevich
W50 Berkeley
2-0 12-4 W
23/09 Arina Bulatova
W50 Berkeley
2-0 12-1 W
17/09 Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
1-2 18-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Antonia Ruzic vs Kayla Day?

Our model gives 50% to Antonia Ruzic, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.