Tennis · M15 Shenzhen · 21/10, 06:30
Prediction: Maksim Shin vs Wenze Li
Team pages: Maksim Shin · Wenze Li
Prediction summary
Winner
Maksim Shin
Wenze Li
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Maksim Shin
4-6 (W-L)
Wenze Li
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maksim Shin 1469 · Wenze Li 1493
| Maksim Shin | Wenze Li | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Maksim Shin makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Maksim Shin | Wenze Li | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.2 | 7.6-9.7 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 0.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 26.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maksim Shin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Yusuke Takahashi M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Zhenxiong Dong M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/10 | Petr Bar Biryukov M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Tomohiro Masabayashi M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Leo Borg M25 Guiyang |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 16/09 | Hao-Yu Lin M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Zhao Zhao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Harrison Satara M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Miles Jones M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Alessandro Coccioli M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Wenze Li
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Diego Gilbert Rivas M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Yua Taka M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Ko Suzuki M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Stefan Vujic M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Tzu-Yuan Tseng M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Hiiro Sakamoto M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 13/05 | Ashton Mcleod M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 12/05 | Sicheng Li M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 7-8 | W |
| 05/05 | Ye Hongyu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-10 | L |
| 15/04 | Filip Peliwo M25 Anning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maksim Shin vs Wenze Li?
Our model gives 62% to Maksim Shin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.