Tennis · M25 Tamworth · 21/10, 02:00
Prediction: Derek Pham vs Tai Leonard Sach
Team pages: Derek Pham · Tai Leonard Sach
Prediction summary
Winner
Derek Pham
Tai Leonard Sach
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Derek Pham
6-4 (W-L)
Tai Leonard Sach
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Derek Pham
2–1
Tai Leonard Sach
(3 last)
- 11 Dec0-2 9-13L
- 05 Aug2-1 19-18W
- 02 May2-1 25-22W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Derek Pham 1555 · Tai Leonard Sach 1486
| Derek Pham | Tai Leonard Sach | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Derek Pham (rating 1555 vs 1486).
- Derek Pham dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 42.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Derek Pham 2–1 Tai Leonard Sach (3).
Statistics
| Derek Pham | Tai Leonard Sach | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.7 | 10.2-11 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 3 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Derek Pham 2 – 1 Tai Leonard Sach (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Derek Pham 2–1 Tai Leonard Sach
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/24 ITF M15 Wellington | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/08/24 M25 Taipei | 2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 02/05/22 M25 Monastir | 2-1 | 25-22 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Derek Pham
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Ethan Cook M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Zane Stevens M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Scott Jones M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/10 | Hayden Jones M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Jake Delaney M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/10 | Jeremy Beale M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Joshua Charlton M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Ashwin Ryan Sharma M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Hayden Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Tai Leonard Sach
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Casey Hoole M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Darcy Nicholls M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Jeremy Beale M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 15/09 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Arthur Weber Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Thanh Minh Truong Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Mukund Sasikumar M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 21/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Chen Hui Ho M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Derek Pham vs Tai Leonard Sach?
Our model gives 56% to Derek Pham, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.