Tennis · W50 Austin · 20/10, 18:30

Prediction: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Varvara Lepchenko

Team pages: Martina Capurro Taborda · Varvara Lepchenko

Prediction summary
Winner
30% 70%
Martina Capurro Taborda Varvara Lepchenko
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Martina Capurro Taborda 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWWLWL
Varvara Lepchenko 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLWLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Martina Capurro Taborda 1476 · Varvara Lepchenko 1501
Martina Capurro TabordaVarvara Lepchenko
Our model46%54%
Market17%83%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Martina Capurro Taborda makes many double faults (4.8/match).

Statistics

Martina Capurro TabordaVarvara Lepchenko
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.2-1.1
Games (G-P)10.9-10.410.2-10
Aces0.12.2
Double faults4.83.6
1st serve %58.3%66.7%
Break %48.1%40%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Martina Capurro Taborda

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Kristina Penickova
W100 Edmond
0-2 3-12 L
07/10 Jane Dunyon
W50 Lexington
1-2 13-12 L
12/09 Chloe Paquet
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
1-2 13-14 L
27/08 Victoria Luiza Barros
W35 Barueri
1-2 13-17 L
26/08 Maayan Laron
W35 Barueri
2-0 12-2 W
24/07 Daria Egorova
W75 Vacaria
0-2 8-12 L
23/07 Berta Bonardi
W75 Vacaria
2-0 12-4 W
22/07 Oceane Babel
W75 Vacaria
2-1 15-16 W
17/07 Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
W35 Sao Paulo
0-2 8-13 L
16/07 Ana Candiotto
W35 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-2 W

Varvara Lepchenko

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/10 Christasha McNeil
W50 Austin
2-0 12-4 W
19/10 Cristina Ramos Sierra
W50 Austin
2-0 12-7 W
16/10 Julieta Pareja
W100 Edmond
1-2 8-15 L
14/10 Nadia Podoroska
W100 Edmond
2-1 14-10 W
29/09 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
28/09 Ulrikke Eikeri
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
13/09 Alycia Parks
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
1-2 14-14 L
09/09 Claire Liu
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
07/09 Katrina Scott
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
25/08 Gabriela Knutson
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 6-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Martina Capurro Taborda vs Varvara Lepchenko?

Our model gives 70% to Varvara Lepchenko, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.