Tennis · W35 Bakersfield · 21/10, 16:00

Prediction: Yara Bartashevich vs Ema Burgic

Team pages: Yara Bartashevich · Ema Burgic

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Yara Bartashevich Ema Burgic
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Yara Bartashevich 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWLLWLLW
Ema Burgic 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLWLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yara Bartashevich 1504 · Ema Burgic 1454
Yara BartashevichEma Burgic
Our model57%43%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yara Bartashevich (rating 1504 vs 1454).
  • Note: Yara Bartashevich makes many double faults (4.7/match).
  • Note: Ema Burgic makes many double faults (6.3/match).

Statistics

Yara BartashevichEma Burgic
Win %50%30%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.40.7-1.4
Games (G-P)11.8-13.48.6-10
Aces3.70.8
Double faults4.76.3
1st serve %61.2%56.1%
Break %43.6%45.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yara Bartashevich

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/10 Edda Mamedova
W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard
1-2 11-18 L
24/09 Anna Rogers
W50 Berkeley
0-2 4-12 L
23/09 Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez
W50 Berkeley
2-1 19-13 W
27/07 Tilwith Di Girolami
W50 Knokke-Heist
1-2 8-13 L
26/07 Daria Kuczer
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-1 17-15 W
24/07 Linea Bajraliu
W35 Gentofte
0-2 5-12 L
23/07 Isabel Skoog
W35 Gentofte
2-1 18-14 W
21/07 Emma Kamper
W35 Gentofte
2-1 17-16 W
16/07 Katerina Tsygourova
W35 Torino
0-2 6-13 L
14/07 Oana Georgeta Simion
W35 Torino
2-0 13-8 W

Ema Burgic

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/10 Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
W50 Lexington
0-2 11-14 L
06/10 Victoria Osuigwe
W50 Lexington
2-0 13-8 W
05/10 Serafima Elizarova
W50 Lexington
2-1 14-8 W
28/09 Arianna Zucchini
W100 Templeton
0-2 6-12 L
04/08 Madison Sieg
W100 Landisville
0-2 9-13 L
03/08 Maria Kozyreva
W100 Landisville
2-0 12-2 W
06/05 Ranah Akua Stoiber
W35 Boca Raton
0-1 2-6 L
27/04 Ava Markham
W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay
1-2 15-14 L
11/04 Yasmine Kabbaj
Billie Jean King Cup · Hard
0-2 2-11 L
10/04 Raluca Georgiana Serban
Billie Jean King Cup · Hard
0-2 2-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yara Bartashevich vs Ema Burgic?

Our model gives 58% to Yara Bartashevich, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.