Tennis · UTR Pro Lubbock Women · 23/10, 19:30
Prediction: Yekaterina Dmitrichenko vs Kaili Demi Teso
Team pages: Yekaterina Dmitrichenko · Kaili Demi Teso
Prediction summary
Winner
Yekaterina Dmitrichenko
Kaili Demi Teso
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yekaterina Dmitrichenko
8-2 (W-L)
Kaili Demi Teso
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yekaterina Dmitrichenko 1590 · Kaili Demi Teso 1547
| Yekaterina Dmitrichenko | Kaili Demi Teso | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yekaterina Dmitrichenko (rating 1590 vs 1547).
- Note: Kaili Demi Teso makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Yekaterina Dmitrichenko | Kaili Demi Teso | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 89% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-6.8 | 11.9-7.6 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 60.8% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 53.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yekaterina Dmitrichenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Polina Sleptsova UTR Pro Lubbock Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Mayra Gisone UTR Pro Lubbock Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Teodora Prisadnikova UTR Pro Lubbock Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/10 | Mayu Crossley W50 Austin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Thea Frodin W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Chloe Noel W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/09 | Matilde Mariani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/09 | Lavinia Luciano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/09 | Nanari Katsumi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/09 | Savannah Dada Mascoll W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Kaili Demi Teso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Mayra Gisone UTR Pro Lubbock Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/10 | Teodora Prisadnikova UTR Pro Lubbock Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 19/10 | Polina Sleptsova UTR Pro Lubbock Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/07 | Michiru Furuya UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Rio Maeda UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Yui Komada UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Mua Shigeta UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Chinari Kobayashi UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 27/06 | Daria Budko UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Lera Alexin UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yekaterina Dmitrichenko vs Kaili Demi Teso?
Our model gives 74% to Yekaterina Dmitrichenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.