Tennis · W100 Wrexham · 20/10, 11:00
Prediction: Rebecca Sramkova vs Mona Barthel
Team pages: Rebecca Sramkova · Mona Barthel
Prediction summary
Winner
Rebecca Sramkova
Mona Barthel
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Rebecca Sramkova
6-4 (W-L)
Mona Barthel
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rebecca Sramkova 1560 · Mona Barthel 1499
| Rebecca Sramkova | Mona Barthel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rebecca Sramkova (rating 1560 vs 1499).
- Note: Mona Barthel makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Rebecca Sramkova | Mona Barthel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.4 | 11.7-9.6 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 6.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rebecca Sramkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/10 | Renata Zarazua WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/10 | Aliona Falei WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 07/10 | Claire Liu WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/10 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Jodie Anna Burrage WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Alevtina Ibragimova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Mona Barthel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Rovereto · Hard |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 20/09 | Samira De Stefano WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/09 | Mia Ristic WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Francesca Jones WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Radka Zelnickova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Fiona Ferro WTA Montreux · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Francesca Jones US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Whitney Osuigwe US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rebecca Sramkova vs Mona Barthel?
Our model gives 65% to Rebecca Sramkova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.