Tennis · W100 Wrexham · 21/10, 11:00
Prediction: Julia Avdeeva vs Noma Noha Akugue
Team pages: Julia Avdeeva · Noma Noha Akugue
Prediction summary
Winner
Julia Avdeeva
Noma Noha Akugue
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Julia Avdeeva
6-4 (W-L)
Noma Noha Akugue
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Julia Avdeeva
2–3
Noma Noha Akugue
(5 last)
- 03 Aug0-2 5-12L
- 06 Mar0-2 7-12L
- 22 Feb0-2 3-11L
- 08 Aug2-1 14-16W
- 01 May2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julia Avdeeva 1484 · Noma Noha Akugue 1527
| Julia Avdeeva | Noma Noha Akugue | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Noma Noha Akugue (rating 1484 vs 1527).
- Head-to-head: Julia Avdeeva 2–3 Noma Noha Akugue (5).
- Note: Julia Avdeeva makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Julia Avdeeva | Noma Noha Akugue | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-8.8 | 9-9.4 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 2 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 59.2% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
H2H · Julia Avdeeva 2 – 3 Noma Noha Akugue (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Julia Avdeeva 2–3 Noma Noha Akugue
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/26 WTA Warsaw | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/03/26 W50 Helsinki | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/02/26 W75 Altenkirchen | 0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 08/08/25 ITF W50 Leipzig | 2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 01/05/24 W100 Wiesbaden | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julia Avdeeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Lisa Pigato WTA Rovereto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Fiona Crawley W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Hannah Klugman W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/09 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Yue Yuan US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Katherine Sebov US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Alana Smith W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Emily Appleton W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Hikaru Sato W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Clara Vlasselaer W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Noma Noha Akugue
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Elena Micic WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Elena Micic WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Ilay Yoruk WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Fiona Crawley WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Malaika Rapolu WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 15/09 | Ayana Akli WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/09 | Fiona Ferro WTA Montreux · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julia Avdeeva vs Noma Noha Akugue?
Our model gives 60% to Noma Noha Akugue, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.