Prediction: Madelief Hageman vs Weronika Falkowska
Team pages: Madelief Hageman · Weronika Falkowska
Prediction summary
Winner
Madelief Hageman
Weronika Falkowska
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Madelief Hageman
4-6 (W-L)
Weronika Falkowska
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Madelief Hageman
1–0
Weronika Falkowska
(1 last)
- 12 Jan2-0 14-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Madelief Hageman 1436 · Weronika Falkowska 1505
| Madelief Hageman | Weronika Falkowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Weronika Falkowska (rating 1436 vs 1505).
- Head-to-head: Madelief Hageman 1–0 Weronika Falkowska (1).
- Note: Weronika Falkowska makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Madelief Hageman | Weronika Falkowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-11.6 | 11.8-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 69% |
| Break % | 44.2% | 35.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Madelief Hageman 1 – 0 Weronika Falkowska (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Madelief Hageman 1–0 Weronika Falkowska
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/26 W50 Manchester | 2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Madelief Hageman
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Oceane Dodin W35 Birmingham |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Andrea Burguete Beltran W35 Birmingham |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 11/10 | Hanna Jankowska W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Gina Marie Dittmann W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Isabella Maria Serban W35 Reims |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Maileen Nuudi W15 Haren |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Charlotte Van Zonneveld W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Daria Yesypchuk W35 Erwitte |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 07/08 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W15 Hameenlinna |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
Weronika Falkowska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Caroline Werner WTA Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 04/10 | Doga Turkmen WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Polina Iatcenko WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Ilay Yoruk WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/09 | Alana Smith WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Laura Samsonova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 15/09 | Kristina Novak WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Anastasia Zolotareva W75 Bytom |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 19/08 | Lisa Zaar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Madelief Hageman vs Weronika Falkowska?
Our model gives 73% to Weronika Falkowska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.