Tennis · M25 Redbridge · 20/10, 11:00
Prediction: Marko Topo vs Patrick Brady
Team pages: Marko Topo · Patrick Brady
Prediction summary
Winner
Marko Topo
Patrick Brady
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Marko Topo
5-5 (W-L)
Patrick Brady
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marko Topo 1537 · Patrick Brady 1500
| Marko Topo | Patrick Brady | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Marko Topo | Patrick Brady | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.2 | 11.5-9.6 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 36.3% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marko Topo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Niels Visker Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 28/09 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Kristijan Juhas M25 Zlatibor |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/09 | Alexandre Aubriot M25 Zlatibor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Stefan Popovic M25 Zlatibor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Nikita Belozertsev M25 Zlatibor |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/09 | Caheer Warik M25 Zlatibor |
2-1 | 10-12 | W |
| 09/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Patrick Brady
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Etienne Donnet Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Toufik Sahtali Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Charles Broom Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Andreja Petrovic Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Lui Maxted Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marko Topo vs Patrick Brady?
Our model gives 50% to Marko Topo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.