Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 21/10, 08:00
Prediction: Matthew Thomson vs Ioannis Xilas
Team pages: Matthew Thomson · Ioannis Xilas
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew Thomson
Ioannis Xilas
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew Thomson
6-4 (W-L)
Ioannis Xilas
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew Thomson 1559 · Ioannis Xilas 1589
| Matthew Thomson | Ioannis Xilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Matthew Thomson makes many double faults (5.3/match).
- Note: Ioannis Xilas makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Matthew Thomson | Ioannis Xilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 88% (8) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-13 | 13.1-10 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 74.5% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 43% | 57.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Thomson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Oliver Bonding M15 Ann Arbor |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Novak Novakovic M15 Columbia |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 01/08 | Elijah Strode M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Matt Kuhar M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Joshua Peck M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Lance A L Castelan M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 26/07 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/07 | Preston Brown M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 23/07 | Aditya Balsekar M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Ioannis Xilas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Jip Van Assendelft M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/10 | Jakub Filip M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/10 | Henri Haupt M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/09 | Sander Jong M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/09 | Leonardo Borrelli M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 12/09 | Max Houkes M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Jack Loge M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 10/09 | Reda El Aouni M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/09 | Idriss Haddouch M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Thomson vs Ioannis Xilas?
Our model gives 71% to Ioannis Xilas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.