Tennis · M15 Singapore · 21/10, 05:00
Prediction: Arjun Mehrotra vs Ergi Kirkin
Team pages: Arjun Mehrotra · Ergi Kirkin
Prediction summary
Winner
Arjun Mehrotra
Ergi Kirkin
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Arjun Mehrotra
4-6 (W-L)
Ergi Kirkin
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arjun Mehrotra 1554 · Ergi Kirkin 1497
| Arjun Mehrotra | Ergi Kirkin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arjun Mehrotra (rating 1554 vs 1497).
Statistics
| Arjun Mehrotra | Ergi Kirkin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-9.2 | 10.4-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 76.1% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arjun Mehrotra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Joshua Charlton M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/10 | David Qariaqus M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/10 | Hayden Jones M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Blake Ellis M25 Darwin |
1-1 | 10-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Alex Bulte M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 19/09 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Jerome Estephan UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 17/09 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Haruto Ishikawa UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Jeremy Beale UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
Ergi Kirkin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Ewen Lumsden M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 17/09 | Lucca Liu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 31/08 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Togan Tokac Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Mika Brunold Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Tymur Bieldiugin M25 Ueberlingen |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 18/08 | David Eichenseher M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arjun Mehrotra vs Ergi Kirkin?
Our model gives 62% to Ergi Kirkin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.