Tennis · M15 Singapore · 21/10, 05:00
Prediction: Ren Nakamura vs Taisei Ichikawa
Team pages: Ren Nakamura · Taisei Ichikawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Ren Nakamura
Taisei Ichikawa
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ren Nakamura
1-9 (W-L)
Taisei Ichikawa
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ren Nakamura 1437 · Taisei Ichikawa 1514
| Ren Nakamura | Taisei Ichikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taisei Ichikawa (rating 1437 vs 1514).
Statistics
| Ren Nakamura | Taisei Ichikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.8-11.8 | 10.5-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 55.6% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 36.2% | 36% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ren Nakamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Azuma Visaya M15 Bali |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Kristjan Tamm M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Corban Crowther M15 Bali |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/07 | Diordan Macababbad M15 Bali Qual |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 22/07 | Keisuke Saitoh M15 Bali |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Corban Crowther M15 Bali |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Taketo Takamisawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
Taisei Ichikawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Blake Bayldon Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Nino Ehrenschneider M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Yuquan Jin M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Anthony Susanto M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Nikita Ianin Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Benjamin O'Connell Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 06/09 | Noritaka Koizumi Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Jerry Roddick M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ren Nakamura vs Taisei Ichikawa?
Our model gives 77% to Taisei Ichikawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.