Tennis · M15 Shenzhen · 21/10, 03:00
Prediction: Boris Butulija vs Yuta Kikuchi
Team pages: Boris Butulija · Yuta Kikuchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Boris Butulija
Yuta Kikuchi
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Boris Butulija
0-10 (W-L)
Yuta Kikuchi
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Boris Butulija 1450 · Yuta Kikuchi 1505
| Boris Butulija | Yuta Kikuchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuta Kikuchi (rating 1450 vs 1505).
Statistics
| Boris Butulija | Yuta Kikuchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8-12 | 8.5-10.1 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 33.2% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boris Butulija
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Mukund Sasikumar M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 02/09 | Lawrence Bataljin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-10 | L |
| 05/08 | Walid Ahouda M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Niksa Arsic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Pierre Delage M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Yuta Kikuchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Arthur Weber M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Kousuke Ogura Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Sena Okabe M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Qian Sun M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boris Butulija vs Yuta Kikuchi?
Our model gives 67% to Yuta Kikuchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.