Tennis · W15 Singapore · 21/10, 03:30
Prediction: Jing-Jing Lu vs Yuka Matsumoto
Team pages: Jing-Jing Lu · Yuka Matsumoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Jing-Jing Lu
Yuka Matsumoto
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Jing-Jing Lu
4-6 (W-L)
Yuka Matsumoto
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jing-Jing Lu 1502 · Yuka Matsumoto 1546
| Jing-Jing Lu | Yuka Matsumoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuka Matsumoto (rating 1502 vs 1546).
- Note: Jing-Jing Lu makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Jing-Jing Lu | Yuka Matsumoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-11.1 | 10.9-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 0.6 |
| 1st serve % | 55.5% | 56.4% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jing-Jing Lu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Anna Kubareva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Qige Yi W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Aruzhan Sagandikova W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Xiaowei Li W35 Shenyang |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Tiana Tian Deng W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Ekaterina Yashina W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Sunam Jeong W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 20/04 | Ma Ruoxi W50 Baotou · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 09/04 | Yidi Yang W35 Anning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Chengwei Han W35 Anning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-7 | W |
Yuka Matsumoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Saily Prashantkumar Thakkar W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Anna Bazderova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Ingrid C Millan W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 24/09 | Astrid Cirotte W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 23/09 | Nadine Hamrouni W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Louanne Djafari W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/09 | Seo Yun Choi W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Mio Mushika W15 Yeongwol |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 07/09 | Anri Nagata W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jing-Jing Lu vs Yuka Matsumoto?
Our model gives 55% to Jing-Jing Lu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.