Tennis · W15 Singapore · 21/10, 03:30
Prediction: Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Yui Chikaraishi
Team pages: Aruzhan Sagandikova · Yui Chikaraishi
Prediction summary
Winner
Aruzhan Sagandikova
Yui Chikaraishi
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Aruzhan Sagandikova
5-5 (W-L)
Yui Chikaraishi
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aruzhan Sagandikova 1466 · Yui Chikaraishi 1484
| Aruzhan Sagandikova | Yui Chikaraishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Aruzhan Sagandikova | Yui Chikaraishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-10.8 | 8.2-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 0 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 53% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 51% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aruzhan Sagandikova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Kristiana Sidorova WTA Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 24/09 | Yingqun Sun W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/09 | Ha Yoon Son W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Wushuang Zheng W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W35 Shenyang |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Jing-Jing Lu W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/09 | Chengwei Han W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Astana |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Gaeul Jang W15 Astana |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Ekaterina Maklakova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Yui Chikaraishi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Xiaochuan Nie W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/10 | Jiale Zhang W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Rion Itaya W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W50 Nanao |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 21/09 | Yui Ohwaki W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Eva Marie Desvignes W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Sera Nishimoto W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Rinko Matsuda W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Natsuho Arakawa W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/05 | Riko Kikawada W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Yui Chikaraishi?
Our model gives 68% to Aruzhan Sagandikova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.