Tennis · M15 Tanagura · 21/10, 02:00
Prediction: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Sora Fukuda
Team pages: Hikaru Shiraishi · Sora Fukuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Hikaru Shiraishi
Sora Fukuda
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Hikaru Shiraishi
5-5 (W-L)
Sora Fukuda
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hikaru Shiraishi
3–0
Sora Fukuda
(3 last)
- 24 Mar2-0 13-9W
- 02 Jul2-0 11-6W
- 21 Mar2-0 13-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hikaru Shiraishi 1483 · Sora Fukuda 1564
| Hikaru Shiraishi | Sora Fukuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sora Fukuda (rating 1483 vs 1564).
- Sora Fukuda is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Hikaru Shiraishi 3–0 Sora Fukuda (3).
Statistics
| Hikaru Shiraishi | Sora Fukuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.7 | 12.9-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Hikaru Shiraishi 3 – 0 Sora Fukuda (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hikaru Shiraishi 3–0 Sora Fukuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/26 M15 Tsukuba | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07/25 M15 Tokyo | 2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 21/03/24 M15 Nishi-Tokyo | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hikaru Shiraishi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 28/09 | Adam Walton Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Jake Delaney Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 11/09 | Seong Chan Hong M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Chan-Yeong Oh M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Yusuke Takahashi M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Ryota Tanuma M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Saki Tange M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Yanki Erel M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-0 | 7-4 | W |
Sora Fukuda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Oscar Brown UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Kazuki Nishiwaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 16/10 | Kosuke Shibano UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Philip Sekulic M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Yusuke Kusuhara M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Alibek Kachmazov M15 Astana |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Sergey Petrov M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Shintaro Imai M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hikaru Shiraishi vs Sora Fukuda?
Our model gives 55% to Sora Fukuda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.