Tennis · W35 Qian Daohu · 20/10, 04:00
Prediction: Ekaterina Ovcharenko vs Junlu Sun
Team pages: Ekaterina Ovcharenko · Junlu Sun
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Junlu Sun
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
6-4 (W-L)
Junlu Sun
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
1–0
Junlu Sun
(1 last)
- 15 Oct2-0 14-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Ovcharenko 1515 · Junlu Sun 1477
| Ekaterina Ovcharenko | Junlu Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ekaterina Ovcharenko 1–0 Junlu Sun (1).
- Note: Ekaterina Ovcharenko makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Ovcharenko | Junlu Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.7 | 9.7-10.1 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 0 |
| Double faults | 6 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 54.8% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 60.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Ekaterina Ovcharenko 1 – 0 Junlu Sun (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ekaterina Ovcharenko 1–0 Junlu Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/26 W15 Shenzhen | 2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Chengyiyi Yuan W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Junlu Sun W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 13/10 | Liuyan An W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Fiona Crawley WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 23/08 | Esha Velaga WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Stephanie Yakoff W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Savannah Broadus W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Junlu Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Liuyan An W35 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 18/10 | Meng Yi Chen W35 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Jiangxue Han W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Xiaochuan Nie W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Fang An Lin W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Yingqun Sun W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Zijun Jiang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Yuzuha Negishi W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Ovcharenko vs Junlu Sun?
Our model gives 65% to Ekaterina Ovcharenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.