Tennis · W35 Qian Daohu · 21/10, 04:00

Prediction: Jiaqi Wang vs Xiaodi You

Team pages: Jiaqi Wang · Xiaodi You

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Jiaqi Wang Xiaodi You
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jiaqi Wang 5-5 (W-L)
WLLLWLWWWL
Xiaodi You 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLLWWWWL
Head-to-head
Jiaqi Wang 0–2 Xiaodi You (2 last)
  • 05 May0-2 5-12L
  • 16 Apr0-2 1-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jiaqi Wang 1513 · Xiaodi You 1495
Jiaqi WangXiaodi You
Our model53%47%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Jiaqi Wang 0–2 Xiaodi You (2).
  • Note: Xiaodi You makes many double faults (6.2/match).

Statistics

Jiaqi WangXiaodi You
Win %50%30%
Win % · Hard 57% (7) 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.1-11-1.4
Games (G-P)9.8-9.310.1-11.1
Aces21.8
Double faults0.56.2
1st serve %64%63.5%
Break %48%45%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

H2H · Jiaqi Wang 0 – 2 Xiaodi You (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jiaqi Wang 0–2 Xiaodi You

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DateSetsGamesRes.
05/05/26
WTA Jiujiang
0-25-12L
16/04/26
W35 Luzhou
0-21-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jiaqi Wang

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/10 Junhan Zhang
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
1-2 8-15 L
09/10 Yanan Hou
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-1 16-10 W
08/10 Xiao Tang
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-0 W
07/10 Guyu Xu
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
27/09 Wushuang Zheng
WTA Jingshan · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
26/09 Ying Zhang
WTA Jingshan · Hard
2-0 14-10 W
19/09 Anastasia Kulikova
WTA Singapore · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
16/09 Yufei Ren
W35 Shenyang
0-1 0-6 L
09/09 Yujia Huang
W50 Guiyang
0-2 5-12 L
07/09 Wushuang Zheng
W50 Guiyang
2-0 14-11 W

Xiaodi You

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/09 Marina Bassols Ribera
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
28/09 Yiming Dang
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
16/09 Alina Charaeva
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
1-2 15-16 L
13/09 Victoria Bosio
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
12/09 Luiza Fullana
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
08/09 Claire Liu
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
0-2 5-13 L
24/08 Qinwen Zheng
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
05/08 Ekaterine Gorgodze
W100 Landisville
1-2 9-13 L
23/06 Leolia Jeanjean
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 11-16 L
16/06 Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
WTA Brescia · Clay
1-2 11-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jiaqi Wang vs Xiaodi You?

Our model gives 57% to Xiaodi You, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.