Tennis · W35 Qian Daohu · 21/10, 04:00
Prediction: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Varvara Panshina
Team pages: Zhuoxuan Bai · Varvara Panshina
Prediction summary
Winner
Zhuoxuan Bai
Varvara Panshina
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Zhuoxuan Bai
3-7 (W-L)
Varvara Panshina
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zhuoxuan Bai 1519 · Varvara Panshina 1556
| Zhuoxuan Bai | Varvara Panshina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Zhuoxuan Bai | Varvara Panshina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.1 | 10.8-8 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 40.5% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zhuoxuan Bai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Emerson Jones WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | JiaYi Wang WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/09 | Mina Hodzic WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Sijia Wei W35 Shenyang |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 15/09 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Yufei Ren W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Joanna Garland W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Varvara Panshina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Daria Egorova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 09/10 | Yuhan Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Soo Ha Jang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Liuyan An W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/08 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Beatrice Ricci W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 17/08 | Gabriella Da Silva Fick W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/08 | Xinran Sun W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Luna Vujovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Lina Gjorcheska W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zhuoxuan Bai vs Varvara Panshina?
Our model gives 60% to Zhuoxuan Bai, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.