Tennis · WTA Osaka · 20/10, 07:30

Prediction: Kayla Day vs Kimberly Birrell

Team pages: Kayla Day · Kimberly Birrell

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Kayla Day Kimberly Birrell
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Kayla Day 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWWWLWL
Kimberly Birrell 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWLWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kayla Day 1532 · Kimberly Birrell 1545
Kayla DayKimberly Birrell
Our model48%52%
Market40%60%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Kimberly Birrell makes many double faults (5.4/match).

Statistics

Kayla DayKimberly Birrell
Win %70%70%
Win % · Hard 50% (4) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.61.6-0.9
Games (G-P)12.4-8.513-11.1
Aces4.71.3
Double faults3.85.4
1st serve %71.1%61.8%
Break %41%54%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kayla Day

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/10 Maya Joint
WTA Osaka · Hard
1-2 12-15 L
17/10 Ena Koike
WTA Osaka · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
30/09 Amelie Van Impe
W100 Templeton
0-2 6-12 L
27/09 Janae Preston
W50 Berkeley
2-0 13-9 W
26/09 Ella Mcdonald
W50 Berkeley
2-0 13-9 W
25/09 Anna Rogers
W50 Berkeley
2-0 12-1 W
25/09 Evialina Laskevich
W50 Berkeley
2-0 12-4 W
23/09 Arina Bulatova
W50 Berkeley
2-0 12-1 W
17/09 Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
1-2 18-16 L
14/09 Elvina Kalieva
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
2-0 13-10 W

Kimberly Birrell

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Katie Volynets
WTA Wuhan · Hard
1-2 16-19 L
03/10 Marie Bouzkova
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
01/10 Aoi Ito
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
27/09 Maya Joint
WTA Seoul · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
26/09 Anna Bondar
WTA Seoul · Hard
2-1 15-12 W
26/09 Katie Volynets
WTA Seoul · Hard
2-1 15-13 W
24/09 Yexin Ma
WTA Seoul · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
22/09 Tamara Zidansek
WTA Seoul · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
03/09 Ekaterina Alexandrova
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 10-14 L
31/08 Petra Marcinko
US Open Women · Hard
2-1 16-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kayla Day vs Kimberly Birrell?

Our model gives 56% to Kimberly Birrell, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.