Tennis · W75 Saguenay · 20/10, 16:00
Prediction: Mimi Xu vs Emma Dong
Team pages: Mimi Xu · Emma Dong
Prediction summary
Winner
Mimi Xu
Emma Dong
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mimi Xu
6-4 (W-L)
Emma Dong
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mimi Xu 1541 · Emma Dong 1575
| Mimi Xu | Emma Dong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mimi Xu makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Mimi Xu | Emma Dong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 100% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-8.7 | 11.5-8.1 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mimi Xu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W50 Quebec City |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Ariana Arseneault W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Yuki Naito W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/10 | Cadence Brace W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Michaela Bayerlova W50 Quebec City |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/10 | Aspen Schuman W50 Lexington |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Madison Brengle W100 Templeton |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Susan Bandecchi W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Edie Griffiths W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/08 | Mary Lewis W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Emma Dong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Yeon Woo Ku WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Valeria Savinykh WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Ena Shibahara WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 24/07 | Lizette Cabrera W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 23/07 | Lilian Poling W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Mio Mushika W35 Saskatoon |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Ariana Arseneault W75 Granby |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Lilian Poling W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Mariya Dobreva W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/06 | Alexia Jacobs UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mimi Xu vs Emma Dong?
Our model gives 56% to Mimi Xu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.