Tennis · W100 Wrexham · 19/10, 15:30
Prediction: Elena Malygina vs Alice Gillan
Team pages: Elena Malygina · Alice Gillan
Prediction summary
Winner
Elena Malygina
Alice Gillan
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Elena Malygina
5-5 (W-L)
Alice Gillan
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elena Malygina
4–0
Alice Gillan
(4 last)
- 23 Oct2-0 12-6W
- 07 Oct2-0 13-10W
- 03 Oct2-0 12-3W
- 17 Jul2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elena Malygina 1519 · Alice Gillan 1478
| Elena Malygina | Alice Gillan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elena Malygina (rating 1519 vs 1478).
- Head-to-head: Elena Malygina 4–0 Alice Gillan (4).
Statistics
| Elena Malygina | Alice Gillan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.2 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-12.2 | 8.8-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 56.7% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Elena Malygina 4 – 0 Alice Gillan (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elena Malygina 4–0 Alice Gillan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/24 ITF W75 Glasgow | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/10/23 UK Pro League Women | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/10/23 UK Pro League Women | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07/18 ITF Women Parnu | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elena Malygina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Savannah Dada Mascoll W100 Wrexham |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Mayuka Aikawa W35 Birmingham |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Victoria Allen W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Katie Swan W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Matilde Jorge W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Sinja Kraus WTA Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 23/09 | Oceane Dodin WTA Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 22/09 | Mina Hodzic WTA Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/09 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Ayla Aksu WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Alice Gillan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Lily Hutchings W100 Wrexham |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Julia Garcia W15 Torello · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Julia Garcia W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Eliz Maloney W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Jasmine Conway W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Jaquelyn Ogunwale W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
1-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 02/08 | Katarina Kujovic W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Monika Ekstrand W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Naiktha Bains W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elena Malygina vs Alice Gillan?
Our model gives 72% to Elena Malygina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.