Tennis · WTA Ningbo · 20/10, 06:00
Prediction: Katarzyna Kawa vs Maja Chwalinska
Team pages: Katarzyna Kawa · Maja Chwalinska
Prediction summary
Winner
Katarzyna Kawa
Maja Chwalinska
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Katarzyna Kawa
5-5 (W-L)
Maja Chwalinska
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Katarzyna Kawa
1–0
Maja Chwalinska
(1 last)
- 29 Jun2-1 14-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katarzyna Kawa 1471 · Maja Chwalinska 1610
| Katarzyna Kawa | Maja Chwalinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 26% | 74% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maja Chwalinska (rating 1471 vs 1610).
- Maja Chwalinska is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Katarzyna Kawa 1–0 Maja Chwalinska (1).
- Note: Katarzyna Kawa makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Katarzyna Kawa | Maja Chwalinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-14.1 | 12-7.7 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.1% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 60% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Katarzyna Kawa 1 – 0 Maja Chwalinska (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katarzyna Kawa 1–0 Maja Chwalinska
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/18 ITF Women Torun | 2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katarzyna Kawa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Daria Snigur WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Valeria Savinykh WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Rinko Matsuda WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 14/09 | Maria Garcia Cid WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Eva Bennemann WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Ekaterine Gorgodze US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Eva Lys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Justina Mikulskyte WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 03/08 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Maja Chwalinska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Sonay Kartal WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 17/10 | Iga Swiatek WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Maria Sakkari WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/10 | Iva Jovic WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Mayar Sherif WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Elise Mertens WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katarzyna Kawa vs Maja Chwalinska?
Our model gives 72% to Maja Chwalinska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.